Newsletter Thoughts

when we realized our deltas were wrong

In Thursday’s paid subs post, embedding spot-vol correlation in option deltas, I buried this story but I thought worth sharing since it’s…

6 months ago

Earnings IV Glide Paths

I want to expand briefly on Wednesday’s HOOD: A Case Study in “Renting the Straddle” because HOOD’s implied volatility that contains earnings…

6 months ago

haters

The following statements are simultaneously true: 1) You can do anything if you put your mind to it” is a…

6 months ago

Moontower #299

Friends, The following statements are simultaneously true: 1) You can do anything if you put your mind to it” is…

6 months ago

HOOD: A Case Study in “Renting the Straddle”

On Monday, I noticed that Robinhood ($HOOD) vol screened cheap in the Trade Ideas tool. But that tool uses 30-day constant maturity…

7 months ago

Games we played during Christmas 2025

We played a lot of games over the holiday break. Some recs. Timeline games Hitster: Draw a card. Scan the…

7 months ago

work is going to feel very different by next Christmas

I started to feel it over the break, but the feeling is inescapable after the past week. This has nothing…

7 months ago

Moontower #298

Friends, I started to feel it over the break, but the feeling is inescapable after the past week. This has…

7 months ago

slop

Merriam-Webster’s Word of the Year for 2025 is “slop”. First of all, what a difference a year makes. In late 2024, my…

7 months ago

Pricing 0dte’s

On the last day of November, Kevin bought a bunch of cheap SPY options about 10 minutes to the close and scored.…

7 months ago