Money Math

high implied vol can work for or against you

Here’s how high vol works against you It's too expensive to buy puts to trade directionally once an asset has…

1 week ago

appreciating diversification

This week, I hosted class #4 of the Investment Beginnings for local kids aged 12+. The series’ materials are here: https://notion.moontowermeta.com/investment-beginnings-course This…

3 weeks ago

how a high implied vol can be cheap

EWY, the South Korea ETF, was an interesting source of disagreement in our Discord about whether the vol was expensive…

3 weeks ago

options policework

A moontower user sent this [paraphrased] message in our Discord the morning of Jan 9th: NLR [VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF] had…

4 weeks ago

the bias of hedging on implied delta

Tweets Before we get to today’s meat, here are 2 threads spurred by oil’s advance yesterday.   Delta is God…

1 month ago

how to get arbed with perfect information

The “Bridge of Asses” 📺Option Pricing Explained: No Arbitrage + Financial Mathematics from a Quant | 52 min watch Doug Costa (SIG…

1 month ago

N² – n: why shorting is mathematically cursed

Recall the levered silver flows post where we see the quick math of levered ETFs. For a fund to maintain its mandated…

1 month ago

not all averages are created equal

What did we notice? a * b = Mean² − MAD² (where MAD = mean absolute deviation) As soon as…

1 month ago

vega’s finishing move

“Vega wounds, gamma kills” is an esoteric expression that’s still common enough that you can google it and return a…

1 month ago

approximating gamma in your head

By now y’all know option traders have the ATM straddle approximation burned into their retina: straddle ≈ .8 Sσ √T…

2 months ago