Newsletter Thoughts

energy is the ultimate currency

A year ago I wrote a piece called Capitalism Is a Temporary Condition. Buried in it was a thought: An investor…

2 months ago

a common marginal thinking blindspot

In Chapter III of The Theory of Political Economy, William Jevons describes the economic notion of marginal value in 1871. Nor, when…

2 months ago

futures premium cell

Back in my SIG days, every trader had a cell on their spreadsheet showing the SPUs (the name for SPX…

2 months ago

Moontower #325

In this issue: for when the world slows down family investing webinar futures premium cell Friends, I’m in Vegas with…

2 months ago

“why should I learn this?”

I usually have a concrete plan in advance of writing, but today’s letter is totally spontaneous, other than knowing that…

2 months ago

Socrates 2026: how to use highlights

Follows from Part 1: uncovering the laws of nature Friends, In Part 1, I teased that Geoffrey West’s Scale was a perfect surface…

2 months ago

stock-bond correlation

Return Stacked’s RSSB gives you a dollar of global equities and a dollar of Treasuries on the same dollar of…

2 months ago

Moontower #324

In this issue: a showdown with yourself unique job opening real-returns trading stock-bond correlation confidence intervals on bounded ranges Friends,…

2 months ago

collar shopping

At the end of July, Dean Curnutt tweeted: The thread should sound familiar. Weeks earlier, Dean tweeted about SNDK vols presenting…

3 months ago

Moontower #323

Friends, I’m visiting my family in NJ so Moontower will return August 12th. That said, today is a longer essay.…

3 months ago