The Money Angle

American options are not vanilla

I’ve always found it amusing that the most commonly traded options, American-style equity options contracts, are considered “vanilla”. Because they…

5 months ago

“markets vs democracies” in the wild

On Nov 26th, Imran asked his followers would what more likely to double in the next year — gold or…

5 months ago

Prediction Market Arbitrage: Using Option Chains to Find Mispriced Bets

Horse tweeted: The moment you see a bet on a platform like Kalshi, Polymarket, or the soon-to-be Robinhood+SIG exchange, your…

5 months ago

a financial death wish

A friend was asking me how to deal with a loved one who had put nearly all of his assets…

5 months ago

Options on Levered ETFs (Part 2)

Last week, in part 1, we backfilled prerequisite knowledge: Distance in return space: equal percentage moves aren’t equal in compounded or…

5 months ago

Option on Levered ETFs (Part 1)

“They” say human labor will be irrelevant by 2027. By then, any business you can think will be solved by…

5 months ago

“trader” is a uselessly broad term

Moontower.ai Announcement The only sale moontower.ai has per year is underway. A 20% discount applied to all new plans as…

5 months ago

the arbitrage reflex is more profitable than the opinion reflex

A traditional way to think of a stock price is the expected value of its future prices weighted by their…

6 months ago

the art of paranoia

This is a fun one. A good friend and mentor from the pit sent me this (lightly edited and hyperlinked):…

6 months ago

deworsification?

Let's start here... Essential Wisdom from Twenty Personal Investing Classics (6 min read) Elm Wealth distills investing lessons from 20 classics,…

6 months ago