I replaced my IBIT shares into long calls when BTC vol got crushed this week while selling my VIX futures which held up quite well on the equity rally, a possibility I suggested when I explained that the elevated but also flat term structure of VIX suggested vol was here to stay in 2025. From vol speed round:
As I was looking at IBIT I thought I’d share a habit I picked up from distant past of ETF arbitrage — estimating the prem/discount baked into the ETF price I’m about to trade:
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